Creative Destruction

Up until the 1890s, horses and buggies ruled the land. There were incremental innovations within that ecosystem but nothing transformative. Then Henry Ford came along with the Model-T car and the buggies were history. Gutenberg’s invention of the printing press in the 1450s drove the manuscript writers out of business. I mean before that, you’d have armiesContinue reading “Creative Destruction”

Freeze Your Credit

Your identity will never be stolen – until it does. And once your thing is out there, it’s a mess. You thought you cleaned it up and then it pops up again. Millions fall victim to identity theft. You don’t want to be them. And we can get insurance against identity theft using precautionary measuresContinue reading “Freeze Your Credit”

Risk & Return

Treasury bonds are issued by the federal government. Bonds with a maturity of one year or less are called Treasury bills but we’ll keep calling them bonds. So, say the year is 1999 when one-year Treasury bonds paid 4 percent as interest. If bonds with a maturity of one year paid 4 percent, you wouldContinue reading “Risk & Return”

On Crypto

Crypto is not an investment. It can never be an investment. The United States dollar is not an investment. The Japanese yen is not an investment. The Euro is not an investment. None of these are investments. They are all currencies. The latter ones at least are. Crypto is not even a currency. Anything thatContinue reading “On Crypto”

On Bear Markets

Economist Hyman Minsky once wrote that stability brings instability. The more stable things become, and the longer things remain stable, the more unstable the system gets until an eventual crisis hits. And it makes sense. When there is never a risk in sight, when everyone is fat and happy is when the chances of theContinue reading “On Bear Markets”

Pascal’s Wager

My first exposure to a stock market boom and bust cycle was back home in India in the early 1990s in what was deemed the ‘Harshad Mehta’ scam. It was a classic pump and dump scheme that was financed by fake bank receipts which Mr. Mehta’s firm brokered in transactions between banks. He used theContinue reading “Pascal’s Wager”